BJP internal survey predicts over 100 seats in the 2025 BMC polls amid push for solo strength
BMC
Ahead of the 2025 Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation election, the Bharatiya Janata Party’s internal survey forecasts more than 100 seats, raising questions about its alliance dynamics in Mumbai.
Mumbai,| Nov 21, 2025 – :
Mumbai’s local body election scene is heating up as the BJP rolls out its internal survey results for the upcoming Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC) election. According to the survey — circulated among party officials — the BJP expects to win more than 100 out of the 227 seats in the city’s civic body. The findings reflect the party’s confidence and also hint at shifting strategies within the ruling Mahayuti alliance.
The BJP currently holds 82 seats in the BMC from the 2017 election. With its survey projecting a tally near or above the 100 mark, the party is signalling that it believes in a strong solo performance. The internal document also suggests that several seats traditionally held by its alliance partners — the Shiv Sena (Shinde Group) and the National ist Congress Party (Ajit Pawar faction) — could swing in the BJP’s favour. According to the survey, up to 16 seats currently with the Shinde-group Sena and eight seats with the Congress may tilt toward BJP.
While a tally of over 100 seats falls short of the 114 required for outright majority, the party leadership views this as a near-majority base. Party sources say that if the BJP crosses 100 seats, it would still need one or two alliance partners to reach full control, but it would have a significantly stronger bargaining position in seat-sharing discussions.
The survey results come amid broader speculation about the future of the Mahayuti alliance in Mumbai. With both the Shinde-group Sena and BJP contesting competition for dominance, the internal numbers elevate the stakes. Some senior leaders interpret the survey as messaging aimed at both the alliance partners and the electorate: the BJP wants to be seen as the primary power centre in city politics.
For several Mumbai watchers, the survey underlines the BJP’s organisational strength in the metropolis. The party has ramped up preparations: door-to-door outreach, youth engagement drives, online feedback forums and appointment of ward-level committees. Officials say the internal data collected helped shape the seat-target projection and fine-tune the campaign focus on key wards.
However, analysts caution that these predictions may face limitations. The BMC elections will be held under complex dynamics: seat-reservation changes, shifting voter demographics, local issues such as slum redevelopment, infrastructure, and transport. Moreover, alliance loyalties, ward-level candidate selection, and last-minute voter swings could all impact outcomes.
The survey does raise questions about the BJP’s relationship with its partners. If the BJP expects to make inroads into its allies’ seats, the seat-sharing negotiations could turn tricky. The Shinde-group Sena, which holds organisational muscle in several wards, may resist giving up ground. Meanwhile, the NCP led by Ajit Pawar may also seek space, especially if the BJP’s numbers approach or exceed its thresholds.
For voters in Mumbai, the upcoming election is shaping up to be not just about civic governance but also about which political force sets the tone in city politics. With the BJP aiming high and internal confidence visibly on display, party workers say their focus has shifted to converting that survey optimism into actual results on the ground.
As the election draws nearer, local leaders from all parties will use these survey benchmarks to sharpen strategy, mobilise resources and position themselves for critical wards. Whether the BJP can translate its internal prediction into an actual win of over 100 seats remains to be seen—but the survey has already raised the bar and set the narrative for the 2025 BMC election.
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